Viewing archive of Friday, 2 March 2007

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2007 Mar 02 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 061 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Mar 2007

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 944 (S05W30) produced today's only flare, a B2 at 0529Z. Region 945 (S07E11) showed re-emergence of sunspots but was otherwise quiet and stable.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the next three days.
III. Event Probabilities 03 Mar to 05 Mar
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       02 Mar 076
  Predicted   03 Mar-05 Mar  075/075/075
  90 Day Mean        02 Mar 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 01 Mar  007/011
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 02 Mar  006/006
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 03 Mar-05 Mar  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Mar to 05 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

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