Viewing archive of Saturday, 2 December 2006

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2006 Dec 02 2204 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 336 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Dec 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Region 926 (S09W18) produced two C1/Sf flares at 02/0035Z and 02/0715Z. Region 926 has grown and developed in magnetic complexity since yesterday and is now classified as a beta-gamma group. Region 927 (N09W08) produced a B1 flare at 02/0959Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the next three days (3-5 December).
III. Event Probabilities 03 Dec to 05 Dec
Class M 05%05%05%
Class X 01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       02 Dec 087
  Predicted    03 Dec-05 Dec  085/085/090
  90 Day Mean        02 Dec 080
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 01 Dec  003/004
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 02 Dec  003/005
  Predicted     Afr/Ap 03 Dec-05 Dec  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Dec to 05 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm 05%05%05%
Major-severe storm 01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm 05%05%05%
Major-severe storm 01%01%01%

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