Viewing archive of Thursday, 1 March 2001

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2001 Mar 01 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 060 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Mar 2001

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28-2100Z to 01-2100Z

Solar activity has been low. Region 9364 (S10W30) produced a C1/sf at 01/1822 UTC. A 9 degree filament (S30E40) disappeared between 28/1734 UTC and 01/1113 UTC.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to remain very low to low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28-2100Z to 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominately quiet to unsettled. Unsettled to active conditions are possible on the second and third day of the forecast as a result of the CME observed on 28 February.
III. Event Probabilities 02 Mar to 04 Mar
Class M10%10%10%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       01 Mar 131
  Predicted   02 Mar-04 Mar  135/140/145
  90 Day Mean        01 Mar 162
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 28 Feb  006/007
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 01 Mar  008/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 02 Mar-04 Mar  005/005-015/012-010/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Mar to 04 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%30%20%
Minor storm05%10%05%
Major-severe storm01%05%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%40%25%
Minor storm05%20%10%
Major-severe storm01%05%01%

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