Viewing archive of Sunday, 6 August 2000

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2000 Aug 06 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 219 Issued at 2200Z on 06 AUG 2000

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. SEVERAL LOW C-CLASS EVENTS OCCURRED WITH MOST FROM REGION 9114 (N12E28). TWO NEW REGIONS WERE NUMBERED TODAY AS REGION 9120 (S22E24) AND 9121 (S35E27).
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW. IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY 05/2100Z TO 06/2100Z: THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS AT UNSETTLED TO MINOR STORM LEVELS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Event Probabilities 07 AUG to 09 AUG
Class M25%30%30%
Class X01%01%05%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       06 AUG 166
  Predicted   07 AUG-09 AUG  170/175/180
  90 Day Mean        06 AUG 191
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 05 AUG  019/026
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 06 AUG  020/020
PREDICTED AFR/AP 07 AUG-09 AUG  010/015-010/012-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 AUG to 09 AUG
A. Middle Latitudes
Active30%30%30%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active35%35%30%
Minor storm15%15%10%
Major-severe storm05%01%01%

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