Viewing archive of Wednesday, 8 July 1998

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1998 Jul 08 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 189 Issued at 2200Z on 08 JUL 1998

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. AN OPTICALLY UNCORRELATED C1 X-RAY FLARE OCCURRED AT 08/1055UT. THE DISK HAS FOUR NUMBERED SPOTTED REGIONS WHICH HAVE REMAINED QUIET THROUGH THE PERIOD.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW. THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED C-CLASS ACTIVITY STILL EXISTS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTECD TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Event Probabilities 09 JUL to 11 JUL
Class M10%05%05%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       08 JUL 112
  Predicted   09 JUL-11 JUL  111/110/108
  90 Day Mean        08 JUL 108
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 JUL  005/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 JUL  005/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 JUL-11 JUL  005/005-005/008-005/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 JUL to 11 JUL
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%20%30%
Minor storm10%10%15%
Major-severe storm05%05%05%

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