Viewing archive of Monday, 6 October 1997

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Oct 06 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 279 Issued at 2200Z on 06 OCT 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN VERY LOW WITH JUST MINOR ISOLATED LOW FREQUENCY SWEEPS AND BURSTS.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN VERY LOW FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD. IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 05/2100Z TO 06/2100Z: THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOPHYSICAL FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD DUE TO FAVORABLE POSITIONING OF AN EXTENSION OF THE NORTHERN POLAR CORONAL HOLE.
III. Event Probabilities 07 OCT to 09 OCT
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       06 OCT 084
  Predicted   07 OCT-09 OCT  084/084/086
  90 Day Mean        06 OCT 084
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 05 OCT  002/002
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 06 OCT  003/003
PREDICTED AFR/AP 07 OCT-09 OCT  015/020-015/015-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 OCT to 09 OCT
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%15%10%
Minor storm10%10%05%
Major-severe storm05%05%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active25%20%10%
Minor storm15%15%05%
Major-severe storm05%05%01%

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