Viewing archive of Friday, 2 May 1997

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 May 02 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 122 Issued at 2200Z on 02 MAY 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z

THE DISK CONTINUED SPOTLESS AND SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE AT A VERY LOW LEVEL FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 01/2100Z TO 02/2100Z: THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD BEGAN THE PERIOD AT MINOR STORM LEVELS. AFTER 02/0300Z, THE FIELD RANGED FROM QUIET TO ACTIVE LEVELS. SOLAR WIND VELOCITY EXCEEDED 600 KM/S DURING THE PERIOD. ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS BECAME HIGH NEAR 02/1630Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE FOR THE EARLY PORTIONS OF 03 MAY AS THE CURRENT DISTURBANCE SUBSIDES. QUIET TO SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR 04-05 MAY.
III. Event Probabilities 03 MAY to 05 MAY
Class M 01%01%01%
Class X 01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       02 MAY 072
  Predicted    03 MAY-05 MAY  072/072/073
  90 Day Mean        02 MAY 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 01 MAY  018/020
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 02 MAY  015/018
PREDICTED AFR/AP 03 MAY-05 MAY  012/012-008/008-005/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 MAY to 05 MAY
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%20%10%
Minor storm 10%10%05%
Major-severe storm 01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%20%15%
Minor storm 10%10%05%
Major-severe storm 01%01%01%

<< Go to daily overview page

Latest news

Support SpaceWeatherLive.com!

A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!

100%

Latest alerts

Get instant alerts!

Space weather facts

Last X-flare:2017/09/10X8.2
Last M-flare:2017/10/20M1.0
Last geomagnetic storm:2019/09/02Kp5 (G1)
Number of spotless days in 2019:190
Current stretch spotless days:20

This day in history*

Solar flares
12011X1.4
22011M1.1
32011C8.9
42000C8.5
52001C8.1
ApG
1199950G4
2199628G1
3201827G1
4200317
5200416
*since 1994

Social networks