Viewing archive of lördag, 13 november 2010
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2010 Nov 13 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 317 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 13 Nov 2010IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 12-2100Z till 13-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 1123 (S23W24) produced
the only C-class x-ray event of the period, a C1.3/Sf at 13/1128Z.
Associated with this event were radio bursts at 245 MHz and 410 MHz.
An eight degree filament with east-west orientation disappeared
from the disk near N31W09 around 13/06Z. A halo CME became visible
on LASCO C2 at 13/11Z and on C3 and STEREO coronagraphs by 13/21Z
with an earth sided trajectory. This event is believed to be
associated with the DSF at 13/06Z.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is forecast to be low
with a C-class x-ray event likely for the next 3 days (14-16
November).
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 12-2100Z till 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with the chance for active
conditions on day 1 (14 November). Conditions are forecast to be
mostly active with the chance for minor storming on days 2 and 3
(15-16 November), due to the expected arrival of a combined shock
from multiple CMEs observed on 11 and 12 November.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 14 Nov till 16 Nov
| M-klass | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| X-klass | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 13 Nov 085 Prognoserat 14 Nov-16 Nov 085/085/085 90 Day Mean 13 Nov 081
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 12 Nov 009/015 Förväntat Afr/Ap 13 Nov 006/006 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 14 Nov-16 Nov 008/010-018/018-012/012
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 14 Nov till 16 Nov
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 30% | 40% | 50% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 10% | 45% | 20% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 05% | 15% | 10% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 40% | 30% | 50% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 10% | 50% | 30% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 05% | 20% | 15% |
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Rymdvädersfakta
| Senaste X-utbrottet | 2024/03/28 | X1.1 |
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| Fläckfria dagar | |
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