Viewing archive of söndag, 11 januari 2004

Solaktivitetsrapport

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2004 Jan 11 2200 UTC
Skapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com

USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet

SDF Nummer 011 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 11 Jan 2004

IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 10-2100Z till 11-2100Z

Solar activity remained at low levels today. Regions 536 (S12W54) and 537 (N05E11) produced lesser B and C-class flares today. Region 536 continues to show steady decay. The beta-gamma magnetic structure remains evident. Region 537 has changed little since yesterday, a few satellite spots in the eastern most portion of the cluster have vanished during the period. A slight counter-clockwise rotation in the spot group is evident in white light analysis. The beta-gamma/delta magnetic complex remains intact. CME activity was seen on SOHO/LASCO imagery emanating from just beyond the solar northeast limb, in the vicinity of where old Region 528 is due to return on 14 January. SXI imagery indicates potential for an active region beyond the solar southeast limb as coronal surging has been common place through much of the period.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be at low to moderate levels. A slight chance for an isolated major flare still exists due to the magnetic complexity of both Regions 536 and 537.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 10-2100Z till 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels. A favorably positioned coronal hole high speed stream continues to enhance field conditions. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels again today.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is expected to be a quiet to active levels. Periods of isolated minor storming are possible in nighttime sectors of high latitudes. The geoeffective coronal hole should start to wane by 13 January with predominantly quiet to unsettled conditions to follow.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 12 Jan till 14 Jan
M-klass60%60%60%
X-klass15%15%15%
Proton15%15%15%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observerad       11 Jan 119
  Prognoserat   12 Jan-14 Jan  120/125/130
  90 Day Mean        11 Jan 137
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
  Observerad Afr/Ap 10 Jan  020/024
  Förväntat     Afr/Ap 11 Jan  015/018
  Prognoserat    Afr/Ap 12 Jan-14 Jan  015/020-015/015-010/010
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 12 Jan till 14 Jan
A. Medelhöga breddgrader
Aktivt30%30%20%
Små stormförhållanden15%15%05%
Svåra stormförhållanden05%05%01%
B. Höga breddgrader
Aktivt40%35%20%
Små stormförhållanden15%15%10%
Svåra stormförhållanden10%05%05%

Gå till översikt idag

Senaste nytt

Stöd SpaceWeatherLive.com!

För att vara tillgängliga vid stora norrskensutbrott måsta vi ha kraftiga servrar som kan hantera alla besökare. Donera och stöd vårt projekt, så att vi kan finnas online även under stora stormar!

54%
Support SpaceWeatherLive with our merchandise
Check out our merchandise

Rymdvädersfakta

Senaste X-utbrottet2024/05/05X1.2
Senaste M-utbrottet2024/05/05M7.3
Senaste geomagnetiska stormen2024/05/02Kp7- (G3)
Fläckfria dagar
Senaste dag utan solfläckar2022/06/08
Månadsvis faktiskt antal solfläckar
april 2024136.5 +31.6
Last 30 days153.8 +59.7

I dag i historien*

Solutbrott
12015X3.93
22024X1.2
32024X1.2
42024M8.3
52024M7.3
ApG
1193765G3
2198944G3
3199842G3
4195929G2
5193927G2
*sedan 1994

Sociala medier