Viewing archive of måndag, 9 juni 2003
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2003 Jun 09 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 160 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 09 Jun 2003IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 08-2100Z till 09-2100Z Solar activity has been moderate. Region 375 (N12W32)
produced an M4/1n event at 09/1128 UTC with an associated Type II
radio sweep. The SOHO/LASCO imagery also observed a CME which
accompanied this event. The CME appears to be directed toward the
northwest and not earthbound. Region 375 continues to become more
magnetically complex and maintains its delta magnetic configuration.
This region has been responsible for the majority of events of this
period. However, Region 380 (S14E42) produced several C-class
events and has increased in both white light area and sunspot count
since yesterday. New Region 381 (S18E19) was numbered today.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Region 375 and 380 both remain capable of producing a
major flare.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 08-2100Z till 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been unsettled to active. This activity is
a result of continued coronal hole effects and the elevated solar
wind speeds. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous
orbit was at high levels today.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be primarily unsettled to active with isolated periods
of minor storm conditions for 10 and 11 June. Quiet to unsettled
conditions are expected for 12 June as solar wind speeds should
begin to decrease.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 10 Jun till 12 Jun
| M-klass | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| X-klass | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Proton | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | yellow | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 09 Jun 158 Prognoserat 10 Jun-12 Jun 155/155/150 90 Day Mean 09 Jun 122
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 08 Jun 021/027 Förväntat Afr/Ap 09 Jun 020/020 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 10 Jun-12 Jun 020/025-015/020-010/012
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 10 Jun till 12 Jun
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 40% | 30% | 20% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 45% | 35% | 30% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 30% | 30% | 15% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 10% | 05% | 05% |
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Rymdvädersfakta
| Senaste X-utbrottet | 2024/03/28 | X1.1 |
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