Viewing archive of tisdag, 18 juni 2002
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2002 Jun 18 2200 UTC
Skapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.comUSAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 169 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 18 Jun 2002
IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 17-2100Z till 18-2100Z
Solar activity has been very low. Three new regions
were numbered today as Region 6 (S08W23), Region 7 (N12E17) and
Region 8 (S11E75).
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 17-2100Z till 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. Unsettled to active conditions
are possible on 21 June due to a favorably positioned coronal hole.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 19 Jun till 21 Jun
M-klass | 25% | 25% | 25% |
X-klass | 01% | 01% | 01% |
Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
PCAF | green
|
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 18 Jun 143
Prognoserat 19 Jun-21 Jun 145/150/150
90 Day Mean 18 Jun 177
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 17 Jun 005/007
Förväntat Afr/Ap 18 Jun 005/009
Prognoserat Afr/Ap 19 Jun-21 Jun 010/012-015/015-015/020
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 19 Jun till 21 Jun
A. Medelhöga breddgrader |
Aktivt | 15% | 20% | 20% |
Små stormförhållanden | 05% | 10% | 10% |
Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
B. Höga breddgrader |
Aktivt | 20% | 25% | 30% |
Små stormförhållanden | 10% | 10% | 15% |
Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 05% |
PLAIN
This message is for users of the NOAA/SEC Space
Weather Operations sunspot region numbers. As you
may have noticed, region number 10000 was assigned
on June 14. Space Weather operations is going
through the sequence of Region numbers as 9998,
9999, 0000, 0001, and so on. SEC's product text
discussions of the active regions will ignore the
leading zeroes (for example, we will say 'Region
number 5' rather than Region number '0005'). However,
the Geoalert product, the Region Report product, as
well as the USAF and IUWDS data exchange codes will
preserve the 4 digit format. The necessity of using
four digits is for operational purposes only. For
historical purposes all regions beyond Region 9999
will be understood to be in a series of region numbers
10000 and higher.
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