Viewing archive of måndag, 13 augusti 2001
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2001 Aug 13 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 225 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 13 Aug 2001IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 12-2100Z till 13-2100Z Solar activity has been low. Most flare activity was
optically uncorrelated, including the largest event, a C4.6 flare at
13/1405 UTC. Region 9574 (S05W38) produced the only optically
correlated event for the period, a C1/Sf at 13/1921 UTC. This
region has exhibited a moderate increase in magnetic complexity, and
is currently the largest active region on the disk, now in an
Eki/beta-gamma configuration with 20 spots and 370 millionths areal
coverage.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Region 9574 is a potential source of isolated
moderate-level flare activity.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 12-2100Z till 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at unsettled to minor storm levels,
due to the ongoing influence of yesterday's shock passage from the
CME activity of 09 August. Some additional influence from a weak
high speed stream appears to have also developed over the past 12
hours, with mainly unsettled conditions occurring over that period.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be unsettled to active for the next 24 hours, then
tapering off to quiet to unsettled conditions thereafter, as the
combined influence of CME passage and weak high speed stream effects
wane during the course of the period.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 14 Aug till 16 Aug
| M-klass | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| X-klass | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 13 Aug 152 Prognoserat 14 Aug-16 Aug 150/145/140 90 Day Mean 13 Aug 151
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 12 Aug 011/014 Förväntat Afr/Ap 13 Aug 020/020 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 14 Aug-16 Aug 015/015-012/010-010/010
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 14 Aug till 16 Aug
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 30% | 25% | 15% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 05% | 01% | 01% |
Senaste nytt
lördag, 4 maj 2024
Sunspot region 3663, X1 solar flare
måndag, 22 april 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
lördag, 23 mars 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
Senaste inläggen
AR3663 216Weakening of Earths magnetic field due to geomagnetic excursion 17Filaments and prominences 72CME Imagery isn't updating since May 3rd. 9AR3664 38
Fler foruminläggStöd SpaceWeatherLive.com!
För att vara tillgängliga vid stora norrskensutbrott måsta vi ha kraftiga servrar som kan hantera alla besökare. Donera och stöd vårt projekt, så att vi kan finnas online även under stora stormar!
Rymdvädersfakta
| Senaste X-utbrottet | 2024/05/06 | X4.4 |
| Senaste M-utbrottet | 2024/05/06 | M1.5 |
| Senaste geomagnetiska stormen | 2024/05/02 | Kp7- (G3) |
| Fläckfria dagar | |
|---|---|
| Senaste dag utan solfläckar | 2022/06/08 |
| Månadsvis faktiskt antal solfläckar | |
|---|---|
| april 2024 | 136.5 +31.6 |
| Last 30 days | 156.6 +63.6 |