Viewing archive of söndag, 24 juni 2001
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2001 Jun 24 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 175 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 24 Jun 2001IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 23-2100Z till 24-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels. The largest
event being an optically uncorrelated C6 at 24/0455 UTC. Region 9511
(N10E00), after producing an X-class flare and three M-class events
on 22-23 June, has shown a dramatic decrease in activity and has
deteriorated to a simple beta magnetic classification. Only two
minor C-class events were produced by Region 9511 today. Region 9503
(N15W75) still retains a beta-gamma classification, but has only
produced a minor C-class event during the period. Regions 9512
(S22W09) and 9513 (N23E44) have increased in area and spot count but
have not produced any significance activity yet. No new regions were
numbered.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Isolated M-class events are possible.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 23-2100Z till 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled conditions. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels during the period.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled conditions for the first two
days of the period. Isolated active conditions, especially at higher
latitudes, may occur on the third day due to a favorably positioned
coronal hole and the resulting high speed stream impacting earth.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 25 Jun till 27 Jun
| M-klass | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| X-klass | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Proton | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 24 Jun 195 Prognoserat 25 Jun-27 Jun 195/190/185 90 Day Mean 24 Jun 173
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 23 Jun 005/008 Förväntat Afr/Ap 24 Jun 008/011 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 25 Jun-27 Jun 008/010-008/010-010/015
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 25 Jun till 27 Jun
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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Rymdvädersfakta
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