Viewing archive of söndag, 10 juni 2001
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2001 Jun 10 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 161 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 10 Jun 2001IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 09-2100Z till 10-2100Z Solar activity was low. Frequent C-class flares were
observed. Region 9494 (S08W57) produced most of the activity
including the largest event of the period - a C9/Sf at 10/0104Z.
This region developed more size and complexity during the last 24
hours, with a weak delta configuration becoming obvious by
mid-period. Slow growth was also observed in Region 9489 (N18W17)
which produced isolated C-class flares in a beta-gamma
configuration. Minor C-class flares were also observed in Region
9487 (N21W30) and Region 9493 (N06E25). New regions 9497 (S10E27)
and 9498 (N22E58) were numbered today.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Region 9494 has a good chance of producing an M-class
flare.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 09-2100Z till 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to minor storm levels. These
disturbed conditions are a result of a high speed stream that is now
tapering off.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. Isolated active periods are
likely at high latitudes.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 11 Jun till 13 Jun
| M-klass | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| X-klass | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Proton | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 10 Jun 163 Prognoserat 11 Jun-13 Jun 170/170/170 90 Day Mean 10 Jun 169
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 09 Jun 019/020 Förväntat Afr/Ap 10 Jun 020/020 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 11 Jun-13 Jun 012/012-008/008-008/008
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 11 Jun till 13 Jun
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 35% | 25% | 25% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 05% | 01% | 01% |
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