Viewing archive of söndag, 3 juni 2001
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2001 Jun 03 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 154 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 03 Jun 2001IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 02-2100Z till 03-2100Z Solar activity has been low. The largest event was a
C2/Sf from Region 9484 (S06E08) at 03/2011 UTC. This region
continues to maintain some magnetic complexity and slowly increase
in size and spot count, currently in a Dai/beta-gamma configuration.
Other regions that exhibited activity today include 9486 (N28W22),
and newly numbered 9488 (S18E61). Region 9488 was split from Region
9485 (S23E46) based on a better view of the region as it rotates
onto the visible disk, and is presently the second largest region
after 9487 (N19E60), which also grew in size and spot count today,
but produced no activity of note.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be
predominantly low for the period, but with a chance for isolated
moderate flare activity possible for the developing regions noted in
Section 1A above.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 02-2100Z till 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been mostly quiet to unsettled, with one
active period observed at higher latitudes during 03/1500-1800 UTC.
Coronal hole high speed stream effects have exhibited a weakening
trend throughout the day, but remain in progress.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly quiet to unsettled levels throughout the
period.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 04 Jun till 06 Jun
| M-klass | 30% | 35% | 35% |
| X-klass | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Proton | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 03 Jun 145 Prognoserat 04 Jun-06 Jun 150/155/155 90 Day Mean 03 Jun 169
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 02 Jun 018/021 Förväntat Afr/Ap 03 Jun 008/010 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 04 Jun-06 Jun 008/008-008/008-005/008
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 04 Jun till 06 Jun
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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