Viewing archive of torsdag, 23 november 2000
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2000 Nov 23 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 328 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 23 Nov 2000IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 22-2100Z till 23-2100Z Solar activity remained at low levels; however,
frequent C-class events occurred throughout the period. Region 9238
(S22W48) produced a long duration C5/1f flare and CME at 23/0547Z.
Region 8231 (S23W62) produced several C-class flares, the largest
being an impulsive C7/1n flare at 23/1424Z. A long duration C7 flare
and CME in Region 8239 (S21E49) began at around 23/1930Z and remains
in progress. Region 9236 (N21E06), though not as active as
yesterday, retains moderate complexity and displayed increased
activity late in the period. New region 9241 (N21W19) was numbered
today.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be
moderate. Regions 9231 and 9236 will still be the likely source of
isolated M-class activity. Activity near the east limb may also
result in M-class flares.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 22-2100Z till 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with an isolated active
period between 23/03 - 06Z.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to continue at mostly quiet to unsettled levels through day
two. Field activity is expected to increase to active to minor storm
levels on day three due to the CME observed today at 23/0547Z.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 24 Nov till 26 Nov
| M-klass | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| X-klass | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Proton | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 23 Nov 205 Prognoserat 24 Nov-26 Nov 210/210/205 90 Day Mean 23 Nov 173
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 22 Nov 007/007 Förväntat Afr/Ap 23 Nov 010/008 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 24 Nov-26 Nov 010/010-012/015-020/025
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 24 Nov till 26 Nov
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 20% | 35% | 50% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 10% | 20% | 30% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 05% | 10% | 20% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 35% | 45% | 45% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 10% | 25% | 35% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 05% | 15% | 20% |
Senaste nytt
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Senaste inläggen
CME 2024-MAY-01 south of AR3654 C5.8 1Filaments and prominences 68ionosphere D detection 12Unspecified geomagnetic activity 959Latest SC25 Predictions 105
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Rymdvädersfakta
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