Viewing archive of onsdag, 22 november 2000
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2000 Nov 22 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 327 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 22 Nov 2000IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 21-2100Z till 22-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 9236 (N20E19) became
very active early in the period and has produced several c-class
flares. The largest flare from this region was a C7/1n at 22/1621Z,
with associated Type II sweep and moderate to strong radio bursts,
including a 500sfu Tenflare. Small C-class flares were also observed
in Regions 9237 (N09W73) and 9240 (N09E72). New region 9240
(N09E72) was numbered today.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to increase
to moderate levels over the next three days. Regions 9231 (S24W50)
and 9236 are complex and have good potential for an isolated M-class
flare. Previous active longitudes, responsible for several
impressive CME's, are rotating to view on the East limb and may well
increase the chance for M-class flares.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 21-2100Z till 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet through 1200Z, but was mostly
unsettled since then.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet to unsettled levels.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 23 Nov till 25 Nov
| M-klass | 50% | 60% | 60% |
| X-klass | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Proton | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 22 Nov 195 Prognoserat 23 Nov-25 Nov 200/210/210 90 Day Mean 22 Nov 173
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 21 Nov 007/009 Förväntat Afr/Ap 22 Nov 008/010 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 23 Nov-25 Nov 010/010-010/010-010/010
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 23 Nov till 25 Nov
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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Rymdvädersfakta
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