Viewing archive of fredag, 6 oktober 2000
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2000 Oct 06 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 280 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 06 Oct 2000IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 05-2100Z till 06-2100Z Solar activity was low. Today's largest event was a C2
x-ray event at 1011Z which was not observed optically. All of the
regions on the disk were quiet and stable. An 8 degree filament near
S40E06 disappeared sometime during the past 24 hours. The event is
spatially correlated with a CME that entered the LASCO/C2 field of
view at 1006Z.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be low
for the next three days.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 05-2100Z till 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active during the past 24
hours. Yesterday's disturbance persisted through 05/2400Z but
conditions became quiet after 06/0000Z with the northward turning of
the interplanetary magnetic field. Today's solar wind was
characterized by declining speeds, low densities, and weak,
northwardly directed magnetic fields, all of which lead to
predominantly quiet conditions.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next two days, and is expected
to become unsettled by the third day.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 07 Oct till 09 Oct
| M-klass | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| X-klass | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 06 Oct 158 Prognoserat 07 Oct-09 Oct 150/140/135 90 Day Mean 06 Oct 183
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 05 Oct 058/096 Förväntat Afr/Ap 06 Oct 005/012 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 07 Oct-09 Oct 005/010-005/010-010/010
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 07 Oct till 09 Oct
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 20% | 20% | 30% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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Rymdvädersfakta
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