Viewing archive of lördag, 6 maj 2000
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2000 May 06 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 127 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 06 MAY 2000IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 05-2100Z till 06-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY BECAME VERY LOW. A LONG DURATION B9
X-RAY ENHANCEMENT OCCURRED FROM 06/0945-1133Z. COINCIDENT IN TIME
WITH THIS EVENT WAS A SMALL DISAPPEARING FILAMENT LOCATED NEAR
N26E39. A LARGE CORONAL MASS EJECTION WAS OBSERVED FROM THE
NORTHEAST LIMB FOLLOWING THIS EVENT. DISK REGIONS WERE SMALL AND
EXHIBITED LITTLE EVOLUTION. A PROMINENCE NEAR SW34 SLOWLY ELEVATED
NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD AND MAY BE IN THE PROCESS OF ERUPTING.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD BE VERY LOW TO
LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. ONLY ISOLATED C-CLASS EVENTS ARE
EXPECTED.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 05-2100Z till 06-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED. ISOLATED
ACTIVE CONDITIONS WERE OBSERVED EARLY IN THE PERIOD. ENERGETIC
PROTON FLUXES WERE SLIGHTLY ENHANCED ABOVE BACKGROUND BUT FAR BELOW
EVENT LEVEL.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. NO
RECENT CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE EARTH.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 07 MAY till 09 MAY
| M-klass | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| X-klass | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 06 MAY 127 Prognoserat 07 MAY-09 MAY 127/130/133 90 Day Mean 06 MAY 188
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
OBSERVED AFR/AP 05 MAY 012/014 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 06 MAY 010/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 07 MAY-09 MAY 010/010-010/010-007/005
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 07 MAY till 09 MAY
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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Rymdvädersfakta
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