Viewing archive of fredag, 5 maj 2000
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2000 May 05 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 126 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 05 MAY 2000IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 04-2100Z till 05-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. A LONG DURATION M1 X-RAY
EVENT OCCURRED AT 05/1621Z WITH NO OPTICAL CORRELATION. IMAGERY
FROM THE SOHO/LASCO SPACECRAFT INDICATED A CORONAL MASS EJECTION
(CME) OCCURRED BEHIND THE SOUTHWEST LIMB IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS
EVENT. THIS ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO HAVE ERUPTED FROM REGION 8970,
NOW AT APPROXIMATELY S14W120. AN ASSOCIATED WEAK CONTINUUM WAS
ALSO REPORTED. OTHERWISE, ONLY A COUPLE MINOR C-CLASS EVENTS WERE
OBSERVED. NO SIGNIFICANT GROWTH OR DECAY WAS NOTED IN THE REGIONS
ON THE DISK. NEW REGIONS 8984 (S16E13), 8985 (N13E51), AND 8986
(S19E45) WERE NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 04-2100Z till 05-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH TWO ISOLATED
PERIODS OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS OBSERVED AT 05/0600-0900Z AND
05/1500-1800Z. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX AT
GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WAS ENHANCED DURING PART OF THE PERIOD.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH ACTIVE CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE THE FIRST TWO DAYS OF THE PERIOD.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 06 MAY till 08 MAY
| M-klass | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| X-klass | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 05 MAY 130 Prognoserat 06 MAY-08 MAY 130/135/145 90 Day Mean 05 MAY 188
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
OBSERVED AFR/AP 04 MAY 005/008 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 05 MAY 012/014 PREDICTED AFR/AP 06 MAY-08 MAY 015/014-012/012-010/010
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 06 MAY till 08 MAY
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 40% | 35% | 30% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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Rymdvädersfakta
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