Affichage des archives de dimanche, 16 juin 2002
Rapport d'activité solaire
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport d'activité solaire et géophysique 2002 Jun 16 2200 UTC
Fait par le NOAA © SWPC et adapté par SpaceWeatherLive.comRapport de l'USAF/NOAA sur l'activité solaire et géophysique
SDF numéro 167 publié à 2200Z le 16 Jun 2002
IA. Analyse des régions solaires actives et activité du 15-2100Z au 16-2100Z
Solar activity was low. The most notable event of the
period was a long duration C1.0 flare at 16/0814 UTC. There were no
optical reports associated with this event, but a CME was evident in
LASCO imagery just following the flare, from a presumed source
behind the northeast limb, near N35. Active prominences have been
visible in H-alpha imagery in this area for the past 24 hours.
Other activity included an optically uncorrelated C1.4 flare at
16/0332 UTC. B-class activity was observed in Region 9991 (S21W47)
and Region 3 (N00E49). New Region 5 (N13E74) rotated into view and
was numbered today.
IB. Prévisions d'activité solaire
Solar activity is expected to remain
mostly low for the next three days.
IIA. Résumé de l'activité géophysique du 15-2100Z au 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Prévision de l'activité géophysique
The geomagnetic field is
expected to persist at quiet to unsettled levels for the next three
days.
III. Probabilité d'éruption solaire du 17 Jun au 19 Jun
Classe M | 20% | 25% | 25% |
Classe X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
PCAF | green
|
IV. Flux Penticton 10.7 cm
Observé 16 Jun 137
Prévisionnel 17 Jun-19 Jun 140/145/145
Moyenne des 90 derniers jours 16 Jun 178
V. Indice géomagnetique A
Observé Afr/Ap 15 Jun 004/007
Estimé Afr/Ap 16 Jun 008/010
Prévisionnel Afr/Ap 17 Jun-19 Jun 005/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilités d'activité géomagnétique du 17 Jun au 19 Jun
A. Latitudes moyennes |
Actif | 10% | 10% | 10% |
Tempête mineure | 01% | 01% | 01% |
Tempête majeure/sévère | 01% | 01% | 01% |
B. Hautes latitudes |
Actif | 15% | 15% | 15% |
Tempête mineure | 05% | 05% | 05% |
Tempête majeure/sévère | 01% | 01% | 01% |
PLAIN
This message is for users of the NOAA/SEC Space
Weather Operations sunspot region numbers. As you
may have noticed, we are steadily approaching
region number 10000. The plan for Space Weather
operations is to go through the sequence of Region
numbers as 9998, 9999, 0000, 0001, and so on. SEC's
product text discussions of the active regions
will ignore the leading zeroes (for example, we
will say 'Region number 5' rather than Region
number '0005'). However, the Geoalert product, the
Region Report product, as well as the USAF and IUWDS
data exchange codes will preserve the 4 digit format.
The necessity of using four digits is for operational
purposes only. For historical purposes all regions
beyond Region 9999 will be understood to be in a
series of regions numbers 10000 and higher.
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