Vaata laupäev, 4 juuni 2011 arhiivi
Päikese aktiivsuse aruanne
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Päikese ja geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse aruanne 2011 Jun 04 2200 UTCValminud NOAA © SWPC ja töödeldud SpaceWeatherLive.com-iga
Ühine USAF / NOAA päikese- ja geofüüsikaalase aktiivsuse aruanne
SDF number 155 Välja antud 2200Z kuni 04 Jun 2011IA. Päikese aktiivsete piirkondade ja päikeseaktiivsuse analüüs alates 03-2100Z kuni 04-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 1226 (S21W25) produced
a C1 at 03/2242Z. This region remains a D-type group with a beta
magnetic classification. All other numbered regions remained stable.
No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Päikese aktiivsuse ennustus
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a slight chance for a M-class event.
IIA. Summaarne geofüüsikaline aktiivsus 03-2100Z kuni 04-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. The ACE spacecraft
detected an interplanetary shock passage at 04/1958Z. Solar winds
jumped from around 325 km/s to 455 km/s, density increased, and the
IMF Bt went from 5nT to 20 nT. A geomagnetic sudden impulse was
observed at 04/2045Z (54 nT) on the Boulder USGS magnetometer. This
signature is consistent with the arrival of a CME. The greater than
2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels
throughout the period.
IIB. Geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse ennustus
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly active with isolated minor storm conditions,
and isolated major storming at high-latitudes, for day one (05
June). The source for the activity is a combination of continued
CME effects, and the arrival of a geoeffective coronal hole
high-speed stream. For day two (06 June) the geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active conditions.
By day three (07 June) mostly quiet to unsettled levels are expected
as the activity subsides.
III. Sündmuste tõenäosus 05 Junkuni 07 Jun
| Klass M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Klass X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Prooton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Pikklaine 10.7 cm kiirgus
Vaadeldud 04 Jun 103 Prognoositud 05 Jun-07 Jun 102/100/098 90 päeva keskmine 04 Jun 107
V. Geomagneetiline A-indeks
Vaadeldud Afr/Ap 03 Jun 003/004 Hinnanguline Afr/Ap 04 Jun 008/008 Prognoositud Afr/Ap 05 Jun-07 Jun 020/020-015/015-008/008
VI. Geomagnetilised aktiivsuse tõenäosused 05 Jun kuni 07 Jun
| A. Keskmistel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 40% | 30% | 15% |
| Väike torm | 20% | 10% | 05% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Kõrgetel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 45% | 35% | 25% |
| Väike torm | 25% | 20% | 10% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 05% | 05% | 01% |
<< Mine igapäevase ülevaate lehele
Viimane uudis
laupäev, 4 mai 2024
Sunspot region 3663, X1 solar flare
esmaspäev, 22 aprill 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
laupäev, 23 märts 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
Viimane foorumi postitus
2024/05/03 X1.69 CME 25AR3663 170Space Weather Memes 344Weakening of Earths magnetic field due to geomagnetic excursion 14Unspecified geomagnetic activity 1021
Veel teemasidToeta SpaceWeatherLive.com-i!
Paljud inimesed külastavad SpaceWeatherLive lehte selleks, et jälgida, mis toimub Päikesel või, kas on oodata virmalisi. Suurema liiklusega on serveri koormus ning maksumus kõrgem. Kui sulle meeldib see, mida me sinu heaks teeme, siis saad sa sellele ka ise natukene kaasa aidata, annetades selle lehe käigus hoidmise ja arendamise heaks. Ette tänades SpeaceWeatherLive meeskond!
Fakte kosmose ilmast
| Viimane X-loide | 05/05/2024 | X1.2 |
| Viimane M-loide | 06/05/2024 | M1.6 |
| Viimane geomagnetiline torm | 02/05/2024 | Kp7- (G3) |
| Plekivabasid päevi | |
|---|---|
| Viimane päikese plekivaba päev | 08/06/2022 |
| Kuu keskmine päikeseplekkide arv | |
|---|---|
| aprill 2024 | 136.5 +31.6 |
| Viimased 30 päeva | 156.6 +63.6 |