Vaata kolmapäev, 16 märts 2011 arhiivi
Päikese aktiivsuse aruanne
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Päikese ja geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse aruanne 2011 Mar 16 2200 UTCValminud NOAA © SWPC ja töödeldud SpaceWeatherLive.com-iga
Ühine USAF / NOAA päikese- ja geofüüsikaalase aktiivsuse aruanne
SDF number 075 Välja antud 2200Z kuni 16 Mar 2011IA. Päikese aktiivsete piirkondade ja päikeseaktiivsuse analüüs alates 15-2100Z kuni 16-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. During the period,
Region 1169 (N17W75) produced a few low-level C-class events
including a long-duration (LDE) C3/Sf flare at 16/2034Z. The flare
was still in progress at the time of this writing. Associated with
this LDE was a partial-halo CME, first observed in LASCO C2 imagery
at 16/1912Z. A preliminary plane-of-sky estimate indicated a
velocity near 500 km/s. The region maintained its beta-gamma
magnetic classification as it approached the west limb. New Region
1173 (S28E39) emerged on the disk as a bi-polar C-type group. The
Penticton 10.7 cm flux and the 90-day mean are estimated for today
(16 March) due to flare enhanced readings.
IB. Päikese aktiivsuse ennustus
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a chance for an M-class event from Region 1169 for the next two
days (17 - 18 March). On day three (19 March), activity is expected
to be very low with a chance for a C-class event.
IIA. Summaarne geofüüsikaline aktiivsus 15-2100Z kuni 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Observations from the ACE satellite
indicated solar wind velocities averaged about 370 km/s while the Bz
component of the interplanetary magnetic field was mostly north at
+1 to +5 nT.
IIB. Geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse ennustus
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (17 - 19 March).
III. Sündmuste tõenäosus 17 Markuni 19 Mar
| Klass M | 25% | 05% | 01% |
| Klass X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Prooton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Pikklaine 10.7 cm kiirgus
Vaadeldud 16 Mar 095 Prognoositud 17 Mar-19 Mar 090/085/080 90 päeva keskmine 16 Mar 094
V. Geomagneetiline A-indeks
Vaadeldud Afr/Ap 15 Mar 000/000 Hinnanguline Afr/Ap 16 Mar 001/002 Prognoositud Afr/Ap 17 Mar-19 Mar 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetilised aktiivsuse tõenäosused 17 Mar kuni 19 Mar
| A. Keskmistel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Väike torm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Kõrgetel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Väike torm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
<< Mine igapäevase ülevaate lehele
Viimane uudis
neljapäev, 9 mai 2024
Severe G4 geomagnetic storm watch
kolmapäev, 8 mai 2024
Sunspot region 3664, major flares and CMEs!
esmaspäev, 6 mai 2024
X4.5 solar flare
Viimane foorumi postitus
AR3664 653[CME] AR 13664, flare flurry, CMEs galore, 2024-05-08/09 167Is there any truth to this "Internet/Electrical Grid Apocalypse"? 97Unproven theories 399Weakening of Earths magnetic field due to geomagnetic excursion 19
Veel teemasidToeta SpaceWeatherLive.com-i!
Paljud inimesed külastavad SpaceWeatherLive lehte selleks, et jälgida, mis toimub Päikesel või, kas on oodata virmalisi. Suurema liiklusega on serveri koormus ning maksumus kõrgem. Kui sulle meeldib see, mida me sinu heaks teeme, siis saad sa sellele ka ise natukene kaasa aidata, annetades selle lehe käigus hoidmise ja arendamise heaks. Ette tänades SpeaceWeatherLive meeskond!
Fakte kosmose ilmast
| Viimane X-loide | 10/05/2024 | X3.8 |
| Viimane M-loide | 10/05/2024 | M1.3 |
| Viimane geomagnetiline torm | 06/05/2024 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Plekivabasid päevi | |
|---|---|
| Viimane päikese plekivaba päev | 08/06/2022 |
| Kuu keskmine päikeseplekkide arv | |
|---|---|
| aprill 2024 | 136.5 +31.6 |
| Viimased 30 päeva | 167.9 +77.8 |