Vaata reede, 7 jaanuar 2011 arhiivi
Päikese aktiivsuse aruanne
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Päikese ja geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse aruanne 2011 Jan 07 2200 UTCValminud NOAA © SWPC ja töödeldud SpaceWeatherLive.com-iga
Ühine USAF / NOAA päikese- ja geofüüsikaalase aktiivsuse aruanne
SDF number 007 Välja antud 2200Z kuni 07 Jan 2011IA. Päikese aktiivsete piirkondade ja päikeseaktiivsuse analüüs alates 06-2100Z kuni 07-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels. Departing Region
1141 (N33, L=263) produced a B5 X-ray event at 07/1520Z as the
region rotated around the west limb. New Region 1143 (S22E16)
emerged on the disk as a D-type bi-polar group and exhibited steady
growth through the period. Region 1139 (S27W74) redeveloped spots
after a 6-day spotless plage interval. Region 1140 (N33W24)
redeveloped spots to the north of the large H spot and was
reclassified as a C-type bi-polar group. Region 1142 (S14W45)
decayed to a uni-polar group.
IB. Päikese aktiivsuse ennustus
Solar activity is expected to remain
at predominately very low levels during the forecast period (08 - 10
January). A chance for isolated C-class activity exists all three
days.
IIA. Summaarne geofüüsikaline aktiivsus 06-2100Z kuni 07-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to active levels with a
minor storm interval observed between 06/2100 - 2400Z. The increase
in activity was due to the onset of a coronal hole high speed
stream. Solar wind velocities, as observed at the ACE satellite,
steadily increased throughout the period from about 450 km/s at
06/2100Z to a maximum of 627 km/s at 07/1545Z. Velocities remained
near 600 km/s through the end of the period. The Bz component of the
interplanetary magnetic field reached a maximum southward value of
-14nT at 06/2226Z and remained southward between -5 nT to -10 nT for
about 6 hours. For the remainder of the period, Bz fluctuated
between +/- 4 nT.
IIB. Geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse ennustus
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominately quiet to unsettled levels all three
days of the forecast period (08 - 10 January). Isolated active to
minor storm periods are possible on 08 and 09 January. This activity
is due to continued effects of the coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Sündmuste tõenäosus 08 Jankuni 10 Jan
| Klass M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Klass X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Prooton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Pikklaine 10.7 cm kiirgus
Vaadeldud 07 Jan 086 Prognoositud 08 Jan-10 Jan 086/086/084 90 päeva keskmine 07 Jan 084
V. Geomagneetiline A-indeks
Vaadeldud Afr/Ap 06 Jan 009/008 Hinnanguline Afr/Ap 07 Jan 010/012 Prognoositud Afr/Ap 08 Jan-10 Jan 010/010-010/010-007/008
VI. Geomagnetilised aktiivsuse tõenäosused 08 Jan kuni 10 Jan
| A. Keskmistel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Väike torm | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Kõrgetel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Väike torm | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
<< Mine igapäevase ülevaate lehele
Viimane uudis
esmaspäev, 22 aprill 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
laupäev, 23 märts 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
kolmapäev, 20 märts 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
Viimane foorumi postitus
Unproven theories 345Growth of Cycle 25 434AR3654 25Unspecified geomagnetic activity 954Changelog/Featurelog 154
Veel teemasidToeta SpaceWeatherLive.com-i!
Paljud inimesed külastavad SpaceWeatherLive lehte selleks, et jälgida, mis toimub Päikesel või, kas on oodata virmalisi. Suurema liiklusega on serveri koormus ning maksumus kõrgem. Kui sulle meeldib see, mida me sinu heaks teeme, siis saad sa sellele ka ise natukene kaasa aidata, annetades selle lehe käigus hoidmise ja arendamise heaks. Ette tänades SpeaceWeatherLive meeskond!
Fakte kosmose ilmast
| Viimane X-loide | 28/03/2024 | X1.1 |
| Viimane M-loide | 27/04/2024 | M3.0 |
| Viimane geomagnetiline torm | 26/04/2024 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Plekivabasid päevi | |
|---|---|
| Viimane päikese plekivaba päev | 08/06/2022 |
| Kuu keskmine päikeseplekkide arv | |
|---|---|
| märts 2024 | 104.9 -19.8 |
| Viimased 30 päeva | 139.7 +33.3 |