Vaata laupäev, 10 jaanuar 2004 arhiivi
Päikese aktiivsuse aruanne
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Päikese ja geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse aruanne 2004 Jan 10 2200 UTCValminud NOAA © SWPC ja töödeldud SpaceWeatherLive.com-iga
Ühine USAF / NOAA päikese- ja geofüüsikaalase aktiivsuse aruanne
SDF number 010 Välja antud 2200Z kuni 10 Jan 2004IA. Päikese aktiivsete piirkondade ja päikeseaktiivsuse analüüs alates 09-2100Z kuni 10-2100Z Solar activity decreased to low levels today. Region
536 (S12W41) has continued to show a slow, gradual decay in spot
coverage. Multiple B and C-class flares were produced from this
region during the period, the largest was a C7.7/Sf flare that
occurred at 10/0513Z. Region 537 (N05E24) was limited to B-class
flare production today and did show some decay in penumbral
coverage, although the delta magnetic structure remains well intact.
Near continuous surging along side the inversion line near the
delta configuration was observed throughout much of the day.
IB. Päikese aktiivsuse ennustus
Solar activity is expected to be at
moderate levels. There is a fair chance of an isolated major flare
from either of the two remaining spotted active regions visible on
the solar disk; Regions 536 and 537.
IIA. Summaarne geofüüsikaline aktiivsus 09-2100Z kuni 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from unsettled to minor storm levels.
Elevated conditions were most likely the response to a geoeffective
coronal hole high speed stream. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse ennustus
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly unsettled to active levels.
Isolated minor storm conditions are possible due to the continued
effects a favorably positioned coronal hole and the associated high
speed stream.
III. Sündmuste tõenäosus 11 Jankuni 13 Jan
| Klass M | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Klass X | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Prooton | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Pikklaine 10.7 cm kiirgus
Vaadeldud 10 Jan 119 Prognoositud 11 Jan-13 Jan 120/125/125 90 päeva keskmine 10 Jan 136
V. Geomagneetiline A-indeks
Vaadeldud Afr/Ap 09 Jan 016/021 Hinnanguline Afr/Ap 10 Jan 015/025 Prognoositud Afr/Ap 11 Jan-13 Jan 015/020-015/025-015/025
VI. Geomagnetilised aktiivsuse tõenäosused 11 Jan kuni 13 Jan
| A. Keskmistel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Väike torm | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Kõrgetel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 35% | 25% | 25% |
| Väike torm | 20% | 35% | 35% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 10% | 15% | 15% |
<< Mine igapäevase ülevaate lehele
Viimane uudis
esmaspäev, 22 aprill 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
laupäev, 23 märts 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
kolmapäev, 20 märts 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
Viimane foorumi postitus
Unproven theories 346AR3654 26Growth of Cycle 25 434Unspecified geomagnetic activity 954Changelog/Featurelog 154
Veel teemasidToeta SpaceWeatherLive.com-i!
Paljud inimesed külastavad SpaceWeatherLive lehte selleks, et jälgida, mis toimub Päikesel või, kas on oodata virmalisi. Suurema liiklusega on serveri koormus ning maksumus kõrgem. Kui sulle meeldib see, mida me sinu heaks teeme, siis saad sa sellele ka ise natukene kaasa aidata, annetades selle lehe käigus hoidmise ja arendamise heaks. Ette tänades SpeaceWeatherLive meeskond!
Fakte kosmose ilmast
| Viimane X-loide | 28/03/2024 | X1.1 |
| Viimane M-loide | 27/04/2024 | M3.0 |
| Viimane geomagnetiline torm | 26/04/2024 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Plekivabasid päevi | |
|---|---|
| Viimane päikese plekivaba päev | 08/06/2022 |
| Kuu keskmine päikeseplekkide arv | |
|---|---|
| märts 2024 | 104.9 -19.8 |
| Viimased 30 päeva | 139.7 +33.3 |