Vaata teisipäev, 15 aprill 2003 arhiivi
Päikese aktiivsuse aruanne
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Päikese ja geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse aruanne 2003 Apr 15 2200 UTCValminud NOAA © SWPC ja töödeldud SpaceWeatherLive.com-iga
Ühine USAF / NOAA päikese- ja geofüüsikaalase aktiivsuse aruanne
SDF number 105 Välja antud 2200Z kuni 15 Apr 2003IA. Päikese aktiivsete piirkondade ja päikeseaktiivsuse analüüs alates 14-2100Z kuni 15-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels. The largest
event was B4 flare at 15/1356Z on the west limb near Region 330
(N09W86). Region 334 (S08E02) produced a couple of minor B-class
events and exhibited a number of point brightenings and plage
fluctuations. The only other significant activity was an eleven
degree disappearing solar filament that lifted off near N21E29.
IB. Päikese aktiivsuse ennustus
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels. Regions 330 and 334 have the potential for
C-class activity.
IIA. Summaarne geofüüsikaline aktiivsus 14-2100Z kuni 15-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at unsettled to minor storm levels. Solar
wind velocity was elevated near 575 km/s and a prolonged period of
southward Bz produced active conditions for most of the day with one
period of isolated minor storm levels. By the end of the day Bz
shifted northward and activity has subsided to unsettled levels.
Greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels.
IIB. Geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse ennustus
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled to active levels. A large southern
coronal hole has rotated into a geo-effective position and is
expected to produce active conditions over the next few days. There
is a possibility of isolated minor storm conditions during the
period.
III. Sündmuste tõenäosus 16 Aprkuni 18 Apr
| Klass M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Klass X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Prooton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Pikklaine 10.7 cm kiirgus
Vaadeldud 15 Apr 101 Prognoositud 16 Apr-18 Apr 095/090/095 90 päeva keskmine 15 Apr 128
V. Geomagneetiline A-indeks
Vaadeldud Afr/Ap 14 Apr 013/016 Hinnanguline Afr/Ap 15 Apr 025/023 Prognoositud Afr/Ap 16 Apr-18 Apr 015/020-015/015-015/015
VI. Geomagnetilised aktiivsuse tõenäosused 16 Apr kuni 18 Apr
| A. Keskmistel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 40% | 45% | 35% |
| Väike torm | 20% | 25% | 15% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| B. Kõrgetel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 35% | 40% | 35% |
| Väike torm | 25% | 30% | 25% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 05% | 15% | 10% |
<< Mine igapäevase ülevaate lehele
Viimane uudis
esmaspäev, 22 aprill 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
laupäev, 23 märts 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
kolmapäev, 20 märts 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
Viimane foorumi postitus
What are these long and thin eruptions? 9Unspecified geomagnetic activity 947IMF - BT strength 8AR3654 1AR 3637, 3638, 3643 89
Veel teemasidToeta SpaceWeatherLive.com-i!
Paljud inimesed külastavad SpaceWeatherLive lehte selleks, et jälgida, mis toimub Päikesel või, kas on oodata virmalisi. Suurema liiklusega on serveri koormus ning maksumus kõrgem. Kui sulle meeldib see, mida me sinu heaks teeme, siis saad sa sellele ka ise natukene kaasa aidata, annetades selle lehe käigus hoidmise ja arendamise heaks. Ette tänades SpeaceWeatherLive meeskond!
Fakte kosmose ilmast
| Viimane X-loide | 28/03/2024 | X1.1 |
| Viimane M-loide | 25/04/2024 | M1.3 |
| Viimane geomagnetiline torm | 26/04/2024 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Plekivabasid päevi | |
|---|---|
| Viimane päikese plekivaba päev | 08/06/2022 |
| Kuu keskmine päikeseplekkide arv | |
|---|---|
| märts 2024 | 104.9 -19.8 |
| Viimased 30 päeva | 136.8 +28.6 |