Vaata teisipäev, 5 november 2002 arhiivi
Päikese aktiivsuse aruanne
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Päikese ja geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse aruanne 2002 Nov 05 2200 UTCValminud NOAA © SWPC ja töödeldud SpaceWeatherLive.com-iga
Ühine USAF / NOAA päikese- ja geofüüsikaalase aktiivsuse aruanne
SDF number 309 Välja antud 2200Z kuni 05 Nov 2002IA. Päikese aktiivsete piirkondade ja päikeseaktiivsuse analüüs alates 04-2100Z kuni 05-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. Region 177 (N16W09)
produced the two largest flares during the period, a C7.5/Sf event
occurred at 05/1257 UTC and a slightly smaller C6.4/Sn flare maximum
was recorded at 05/1610 UTC. Magnetic analysis indicates slight
growth in complexity while the average white-light area is now at
390 millionths with 17 spots. Region 180 (S10E17) only managed to
produce minor C-class flares today. Even so, the magnetic structure
to this region has shown significant growth during the period with
the dominant lead spot exhibiting a distinct delta complex. New
Region 186 (N20E02) was numbered today.
IB. Päikese aktiivsuse ennustus
Solar activity is expected to be at
low to moderate levels. Both Regions 177 and 180 have M-class flare
potential.
IIA. Summaarne geofüüsikaline aktiivsus 04-2100Z kuni 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at unsettled to active levels. The Bz
component of the interplanetary magnetic field remained mostly
southward today. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse ennustus
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled to active levels into the first day of
the period. The elevated solar wind speeds in response to a
geoeffective high speed coronal hole stream should begin to diminish
by the end of day one, returning to predominantly quiet to unsettled
conditions on days two and three. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit should reach moderate to high levels
again tomorrow, 06 November.
III. Sündmuste tõenäosus 06 Novkuni 08 Nov
| Klass M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Klass X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Prooton | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Pikklaine 10.7 cm kiirgus
Vaadeldud 05 Nov 183 Prognoositud 06 Nov-08 Nov 180/185/180 90 päeva keskmine 05 Nov 177
V. Geomagneetiline A-indeks
Vaadeldud Afr/Ap 04 Nov 011/021 Hinnanguline Afr/Ap 05 Nov 015/020 Prognoositud Afr/Ap 06 Nov-08 Nov 012/015-010/010-008/010
VI. Geomagnetilised aktiivsuse tõenäosused 06 Nov kuni 08 Nov
| A. Keskmistel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Väike torm | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Kõrgetel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 40% | 30% | 25% |
| Väike torm | 25% | 15% | 15% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 15% | 05% | 05% |
<< Mine igapäevase ülevaate lehele
Viimane uudis
esmaspäev, 22 aprill 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
laupäev, 23 märts 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
kolmapäev, 20 märts 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
Viimane foorumi postitus
Unspecified geomagnetic activity 996ionosphere D detection 17CME 2024-MAY-01 south of AR3654 C5.8 5AR3663 17Minor glitch with utc timestamp 3
Veel teemasidToeta SpaceWeatherLive.com-i!
Paljud inimesed külastavad SpaceWeatherLive lehte selleks, et jälgida, mis toimub Päikesel või, kas on oodata virmalisi. Suurema liiklusega on serveri koormus ning maksumus kõrgem. Kui sulle meeldib see, mida me sinu heaks teeme, siis saad sa sellele ka ise natukene kaasa aidata, annetades selle lehe käigus hoidmise ja arendamise heaks. Ette tänades SpeaceWeatherLive meeskond!
Fakte kosmose ilmast
| Viimane X-loide | 28/03/2024 | X1.1 |
| Viimane M-loide | 02/05/2024 | M2.7 |
| Viimane geomagnetiline torm | 26/04/2024 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Plekivabasid päevi | |
|---|---|
| Viimane päikese plekivaba päev | 08/06/2022 |
| Kuu keskmine päikeseplekkide arv | |
|---|---|
| aprill 2024 | 136.5 +31.6 |
| Viimased 30 päeva | 150.3 +52.7 |