Vaata esmaspäev, 24 juuni 2002 arhiivi

Päikese aktiivsuse aruanne

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Päikese ja geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse aruanne 2002 Jun 24 2200 UTC
Valminud NOAA © SWPC ja töödeldud SpaceWeatherLive.com-iga

Ühine USAF / NOAA päikese- ja geofüüsikaalase aktiivsuse aruanne

SDF number 175 Välja antud 2200Z kuni 24 Jun 2002

IA. Päikese aktiivsete piirkondade ja päikeseaktiivsuse analüüs alates 23-2100Z kuni 24-2100Z

Solar activity was low during the past 24 hours. Today's only C-flare was a C1 at 1606 UTC. The optical source was not obvious, but there were some slightly enhanced loops visible in EIT 195 from Region 5 (N14W29). New Region 15 (S27E39) emerged and was assigned today. A 13 degree filament near N40W06 disappeared sometime between 0112 UTC and 1345 UTC. A CME erupted from the west limb at 24/0054 UTC but did not have any earthward component. Region 8 (S10W01) continues to be the largest region on the disk and appeared to be growing and developing some magnetic complexity during the past 24 hours.
IB. Päikese aktiivsuse ennustus
Solar activity is expected to be low for the next three days. There is a very slight chance for moderate activity from Region 8.
IIA. Summaarne geofüüsikaline aktiivsus 23-2100Z kuni 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse ennustus
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days.
III. Sündmuste tõenäosus 25 Junkuni 27 Jun
Klass M25%25%25%
Klass X05%05%05%
Prooton05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Pikklaine 10.7 cm kiirgus
  Vaadeldud       24 Jun 150
  Prognoositud   25 Jun-27 Jun  150/150/145
  90 päeva keskmine        24 Jun 175
V. Geomagneetiline A-indeks
  Vaadeldud Afr/Ap 23 Jun  012/014
  Hinnanguline     Afr/Ap 24 Jun  006/012
  Prognoositud    Afr/Ap 25 Jun-27 Jun  007/008-007/008-007/008
VI. Geomagnetilised aktiivsuse tõenäosused 25 Jun kuni 27 Jun
A. Keskmistel laiuskraadidel
Aktiivne20%20%20%
Väike torm05%05%05%
Suur-tõsine torm01%01%01%
B. Kõrgetel laiuskraadidel
Aktiivne25%25%25%
Väike torm05%05%05%
Suur-tõsine torm01%01%01%
PLAIN This message is for users of the NOAA/SEC Space Weather Operations sunspot region numbers. As you may have noticed, region number 10000 was assigned on June 14. Space Weather operations is going through the sequence of Region numbers as 9998, 9999, 0000, 0001, and so on. SEC's product text discussions of the active regions will ignore the leading zeroes (for example, we will say 'Region number 5' rather than Region number '0005'). However, the Geoalert product, the Region Report product, as well as the USAF and ISES data exchange codes will preserve the 4 digit format. The necessity of using four digits is for operational purposes only. For historical purposes all regions beyond Region 9999 will be understood to be in a series of region numbers 10000 and higher.

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