Vaata kolmapäev, 20 märts 2002 arhiivi
Päikese aktiivsuse aruanne
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Päikese ja geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse aruanne 2002 Mar 20 2200 UTCValminud NOAA © SWPC ja töödeldud SpaceWeatherLive.com-iga
Ühine USAF / NOAA päikese- ja geofüüsikaalase aktiivsuse aruanne
SDF number 079 Välja antud 2200Z kuni 20 Mar 2002IA. Päikese aktiivsete piirkondade ja päikeseaktiivsuse analüüs alates 19-2100Z kuni 20-2100Z Solar activity was low. A long-duration C4 flare began
at 1544 UTC and lasted until 1919 UTC. The corresponding source on
the disk was not entirely certain but it seemed most likely to be
correlated to activity observed in Region 9866 (S08W73). Additional
C-class subflares occurred during the day, with many of these coming
from Region 9875. Region 9875 showed steady growth during the past
24 hours. Three new region were assigned today: 9876 (S16E65), 9877
(N18W29), and 9878 (N08E75).
IB. Päikese aktiivsuse ennustus
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate during the next three days.
IIA. Summaarne geofüüsikaline aktiivsus 19-2100Z kuni 20-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet until 1329 UTC when a sudden impulse
(SI) occurred. Since then the geomagnetic field has ranged from
quiet to active levels. The SI was caused by an interplanetary shock
which was seen at the ACE spacecraft at 1307 UTC. The disturbance is
most likely the result of the halo CME was observed in LASCO C2 at
18/0254 UTC. The shock also pushed the greater than 10 MeV proton
fluxes up to about 19 PFU at 1525 UTC. The proton event fluxes
dropped below event level at 1820 UTC.
IIB. Geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse ennustus
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled for the next three days. There is a
chance for some isolated active levels on the second day as a
possible response to yesterday's partial halo CME.
III. Sündmuste tõenäosus 21 Markuni 23 Mar
| Klass M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Klass X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Prooton | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| PCAF | yellow | ||
IV. Pikklaine 10.7 cm kiirgus
Vaadeldud 20 Mar 188 Prognoositud 21 Mar-23 Mar 175/170/165 90 päeva keskmine 20 Mar 213
V. Geomagneetiline A-indeks
Vaadeldud Afr/Ap 19 Mar 015/017 Hinnanguline Afr/Ap 20 Mar 010/010 Prognoositud Afr/Ap 21 Mar-23 Mar 010/010-015/015-010/008
VI. Geomagnetilised aktiivsuse tõenäosused 21 Mar kuni 23 Mar
| A. Keskmistel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 25% | 35% | 25% |
| Väike torm | 20% | 25% | 20% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| B. Kõrgetel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 25% | 35% | 25% |
| Väike torm | 20% | 25% | 20% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 10% | 15% | 10% |
<< Mine igapäevase ülevaate lehele
Viimane uudis
esmaspäev, 22 aprill 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
laupäev, 23 märts 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
kolmapäev, 20 märts 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
Viimane foorumi postitus
AR3654 41ionosphere D detection 2Minor glitch with utc timestamp 2Unproven theories 375Space Weather Memes 339
Veel teemasidToeta SpaceWeatherLive.com-i!
Paljud inimesed külastavad SpaceWeatherLive lehte selleks, et jälgida, mis toimub Päikesel või, kas on oodata virmalisi. Suurema liiklusega on serveri koormus ning maksumus kõrgem. Kui sulle meeldib see, mida me sinu heaks teeme, siis saad sa sellele ka ise natukene kaasa aidata, annetades selle lehe käigus hoidmise ja arendamise heaks. Ette tänades SpeaceWeatherLive meeskond!
Fakte kosmose ilmast
| Viimane X-loide | 28/03/2024 | X1.1 |
| Viimane M-loide | 30/04/2024 | M9.4 |
| Viimane geomagnetiline torm | 26/04/2024 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Plekivabasid päevi | |
|---|---|
| Viimane päikese plekivaba päev | 08/06/2022 |
| Kuu keskmine päikeseplekkide arv | |
|---|---|
| märts 2024 | 104.9 -19.8 |
| Viimased 30 päeva | 144.2 +43.4 |