Vaata laupäev, 6 mai 2000 arhiivi
Päikese aktiivsuse aruanne
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Päikese ja geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse aruanne 2000 May 06 2200 UTCValminud NOAA © SWPC ja töödeldud SpaceWeatherLive.com-iga
Ühine USAF / NOAA päikese- ja geofüüsikaalase aktiivsuse aruanne
SDF number 127 Välja antud 2200Z kuni 06 MAY 2000IA. Päikese aktiivsete piirkondade ja päikeseaktiivsuse analüüs alates 05-2100Z kuni 06-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY BECAME VERY LOW. A LONG DURATION B9
X-RAY ENHANCEMENT OCCURRED FROM 06/0945-1133Z. COINCIDENT IN TIME
WITH THIS EVENT WAS A SMALL DISAPPEARING FILAMENT LOCATED NEAR
N26E39. A LARGE CORONAL MASS EJECTION WAS OBSERVED FROM THE
NORTHEAST LIMB FOLLOWING THIS EVENT. DISK REGIONS WERE SMALL AND
EXHIBITED LITTLE EVOLUTION. A PROMINENCE NEAR SW34 SLOWLY ELEVATED
NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD AND MAY BE IN THE PROCESS OF ERUPTING.
IB. Päikese aktiivsuse ennustus
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD BE VERY LOW TO
LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. ONLY ISOLATED C-CLASS EVENTS ARE
EXPECTED.
IIA. Summaarne geofüüsikaline aktiivsus 05-2100Z kuni 06-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED. ISOLATED
ACTIVE CONDITIONS WERE OBSERVED EARLY IN THE PERIOD. ENERGETIC
PROTON FLUXES WERE SLIGHTLY ENHANCED ABOVE BACKGROUND BUT FAR BELOW
EVENT LEVEL.
IIB. Geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse ennustus
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. NO
RECENT CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE EARTH.
III. Sündmuste tõenäosus 07 MAYkuni 09 MAY
| Klass M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Klass X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Prooton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Pikklaine 10.7 cm kiirgus
Vaadeldud 06 MAY 127 Prognoositud 07 MAY-09 MAY 127/130/133 90 päeva keskmine 06 MAY 188
V. Geomagneetiline A-indeks
OBSERVED AFR/AP 05 MAY 012/014 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 06 MAY 010/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 07 MAY-09 MAY 010/010-010/010-007/005
VI. Geomagnetilised aktiivsuse tõenäosused 07 MAY kuni 09 MAY
| A. Keskmistel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Väike torm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Kõrgetel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Väike torm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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