Vaata kolmapäev, 6 oktoober 1999 arhiivi
Päikese aktiivsuse aruanne
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Päikese ja geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse aruanne 1999 Oct 06 2200 UTCValminud NOAA © SWPC ja töödeldud SpaceWeatherLive.com-iga
Ühine USAF / NOAA päikese- ja geofüüsikaalase aktiivsuse aruanne
SDF number 279 Välja antud 2200Z kuni 06 OCT 1999IA. Päikese aktiivsete piirkondade ja päikeseaktiivsuse analüüs alates 05-2100Z kuni 06-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED LOW. REGION 8720 (N13E29)
PRODUCED SEVERAL SMALL C-CLASS SUBFLARES DURING THE PERIOD. SEVERAL
NEW SPOTS DEVELOPED IN THIS RE-EMERGING REGION. OTHER REGIONS WERE
PREDOMINANTLY STABLE. DURING THE PERIOD, A MODERATELY LARGE REGION
OF ENHANCED X-RAY EMISSION BECAME VISIBLE BETWEEN NE20-30 INDICATING
THE IMMINENT ARRIVAL OF ANOTHER SUNSPOT REGION TO THE VISIBLE DISK.
A LARGE CORONAL MASS EJECTION CENTERED NEAR SE45 BEGAN NEAR
06/0000Z. THE PROPAGATION VELOCITY WAS VERY SLOW AND TRAJECTORY WAS
RADIAL.
IB. Päikese aktiivsuse ennustus
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN GENERALLY
LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. C-CLASS EVENTS ARE POSSIBLE FROM
SEVERAL REGIONS ON THE DISK. THERE IS A SLIGHT POSSIBILITY OF A LOW
LEVEL M-CLASS EVENT DURING THE PERIOD. THE NEW REGION OVER THE
NORTHEAST LIMB MAY ELEVATE ACTIVITY LEVELS SLIGHTLY BUT IT IS
DIFFICULT AT THIS TIME TO ASSESS ITS POTENTIAL.
IIA. Summaarne geofüüsikaline aktiivsus 05-2100Z kuni 06-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. SOLAR WIND VELOCITY
DROPPED BELOW 500 KM/S DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE DAY.
IIB. Geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse ennustus
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME QUIET TO ACTIVE DURING THE NEXT THREE DAYS. A
CORONAL HOLE RELATED HIGH SPEED STREAM IS EXPECTED TO RESUME DURING
THE PERIOD.
III. Sündmuste tõenäosus 07 OCTkuni 09 OCT
| Klass M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Klass X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Prooton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Pikklaine 10.7 cm kiirgus
Vaadeldud 06 OCT 134 Prognoositud 07 OCT-09 OCT 138/142/146 90 päeva keskmine 06 OCT 154
V. Geomagneetiline A-indeks
OBSERVED AFR/AP 05 OCT 011/016 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 06 OCT 010/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 07 OCT-09 OCT 012/012-012/010-015/015
VI. Geomagnetilised aktiivsuse tõenäosused 07 OCT kuni 09 OCT
| A. Keskmistel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Väike torm | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Kõrgetel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Väike torm | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
<< Mine igapäevase ülevaate lehele
Viimane uudis
laupäev, 4 mai 2024
Sunspot region 3663, X1 solar flare
esmaspäev, 22 aprill 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
laupäev, 23 märts 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
Viimane foorumi postitus
CME Imagery isn't updating since May 3rd. 8AR3664 36AR3663 206Weakening of Earths magnetic field due to geomagnetic excursion 152024/05/03 X1.69 CME 26
Veel teemasidToeta SpaceWeatherLive.com-i!
Paljud inimesed külastavad SpaceWeatherLive lehte selleks, et jälgida, mis toimub Päikesel või, kas on oodata virmalisi. Suurema liiklusega on serveri koormus ning maksumus kõrgem. Kui sulle meeldib see, mida me sinu heaks teeme, siis saad sa sellele ka ise natukene kaasa aidata, annetades selle lehe käigus hoidmise ja arendamise heaks. Ette tänades SpeaceWeatherLive meeskond!
Fakte kosmose ilmast
| Viimane X-loide | 06/05/2024 | X4.4 |
| Viimane M-loide | 06/05/2024 | M1.5 |
| Viimane geomagnetiline torm | 02/05/2024 | Kp7- (G3) |
| Plekivabasid päevi | |
|---|---|
| Viimane päikese plekivaba päev | 08/06/2022 |
| Kuu keskmine päikeseplekkide arv | |
|---|---|
| aprill 2024 | 136.5 +31.6 |
| Viimased 30 päeva | 156.6 +63.6 |