Vaata pühapäev, 24 jaanuar 1999 arhiivi
Päikese aktiivsuse aruanne
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Päikese ja geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse aruanne 1999 Jan 24 2200 UTCValminud NOAA © SWPC ja töödeldud SpaceWeatherLive.com-iga
Ühine USAF / NOAA päikese- ja geofüüsikaalase aktiivsuse aruanne
SDF number 024 Välja antud 2200Z kuni 24 JAN 1999IA. Päikese aktiivsete piirkondade ja päikeseaktiivsuse analüüs alates 23-2100Z kuni 24-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. THE LARGEST EVENT OF THE PERIOD
WAS A C5/SF FLARE FROM REGION 8444 (N20W38) AT 24/0820Z. A MORE
INTERESTING EVENT WAS A GRADUAL RISE AND FALL C3 X-RAY EVENT FROM
24/1555-1920Z. A REPORT WAS RECEIVED OF CORONAL RAIN AND A WEAK LOOP
PROMINENCE SYSTEM VISIBLE NEAR SW28 TOWARD THE END OF THE X-RAY
EVENT. NO SIGNIFICANT FLARE WAS OBSERVED IN NEARBY REGION 8439
(S23W81) DURING THE EVENT BUT, IN MOVIE SEQUENCES, FIBRIL DISTORTIONS
WERE. IT IS LIKELY THAT A FILAMENT ERUPTED BEHIND THE WEST LIMB AND
SOME MATERIAL FLOWED DOWN ALONG FIELD LINES NEAR REGION 8439.
REGIONS 8439 AND 8440 (N19W78) SHOWED SLIGHT DECAY BUT THAT MAY BE
DUE IN PART TO FORESHORTENING.
IB. Päikese aktiivsuse ennustus
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD BE PREDOMINANTLY
LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS DUE TO SUBFLARES FROM REGIONS 8439,
8440, AND 8444. REGIONS 8439 AND 8440 REMAIN CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
ISOLATED M-CLASS EVENTS.
IIA. Summaarne geofüüsikaline aktiivsus 23-2100Z kuni 24-2100Z
DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE PERIOD, THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS AT
UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE LEVELS. QUIET TO UNSETTLED CONDITIONS WERE
OBSERVED DURING THE LATTER HALF. THE GT 10 MEV PROTON FLUX REMAINED
ENHANCED BUT BELOW EVENT LEVEL FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD. A FORBUSH
DECREASE BEGAN EARLY ON 23 JAN. THE NEUTRON FLUX DURING THE EVENT
WAS DEPRESSED BY APPROXIMATELY 6 PERCENT NEAR MIDDAY ON 24 JAN. AT
THE END OF THE PERIOD, THE FORBUSH DECREASE WAS SLOWLY RECOVERING TO
NORMAL VALUES.
IIB. Geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse ennustus
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD SHOULD BE
QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. THE GT 10 MEV PROTON
FLUX SHOULD RETURN TO BACKGROUND LEVELS DURING THE PERIOD.
III. Sündmuste tõenäosus 25 JANkuni 27 JAN
| Klass M | 40% | 20% | 15% |
| Klass X | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Prooton | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Pikklaine 10.7 cm kiirgus
Vaadeldud 24 JAN 162 Prognoositud 25 JAN-27 JAN 153/142/137 90 päeva keskmine 24 JAN 143
V. Geomagneetiline A-indeks
OBSERVED AFR/AP 23 JAN 017/016 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 24 JAN 013/015 PREDICTED AFR/AP 25 JAN-27 JAN 008/010-008/010-010/008
VI. Geomagnetilised aktiivsuse tõenäosused 25 JAN kuni 27 JAN
| A. Keskmistel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 15% | 10% | 15% |
| Väike torm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Kõrgetel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Väike torm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
<< Mine igapäevase ülevaate lehele
Viimane uudis
esmaspäev, 22 aprill 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
laupäev, 23 märts 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
kolmapäev, 20 märts 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
Viimane foorumi postitus
Filaments and prominences 56Unproven theories 355AR3654 33Incoming Active Regions 231Growth of Cycle 25 435
Veel teemasidToeta SpaceWeatherLive.com-i!
Paljud inimesed külastavad SpaceWeatherLive lehte selleks, et jälgida, mis toimub Päikesel või, kas on oodata virmalisi. Suurema liiklusega on serveri koormus ning maksumus kõrgem. Kui sulle meeldib see, mida me sinu heaks teeme, siis saad sa sellele ka ise natukene kaasa aidata, annetades selle lehe käigus hoidmise ja arendamise heaks. Ette tänades SpeaceWeatherLive meeskond!
Fakte kosmose ilmast
| Viimane X-loide | 28/03/2024 | X1.1 |
| Viimane M-loide | 29/04/2024 | M3.6 |
| Viimane geomagnetiline torm | 26/04/2024 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Plekivabasid päevi | |
|---|---|
| Viimane päikese plekivaba päev | 08/06/2022 |
| Kuu keskmine päikeseplekkide arv | |
|---|---|
| märts 2024 | 104.9 -19.8 |
| Viimased 30 päeva | 141.7 +36.9 |