Vaata pühapäev, 9 august 1998 arhiivi
Päikese aktiivsuse aruanne
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Päikese ja geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse aruanne 1998 Aug 09 2200 UTCValminud NOAA © SWPC ja töödeldud SpaceWeatherLive.com-iga
Ühine USAF / NOAA päikese- ja geofüüsikaalase aktiivsuse aruanne
SDF number 221 Välja antud 2200Z kuni 09 AUG 1998IA. Päikese aktiivsete piirkondade ja päikeseaktiivsuse analüüs alates 08-2100Z kuni 09-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. REGION 8299 (N15E52)
PRODUCED A M1/1B AT 09/0847Z AND A M3/2B AT 09/1718Z. THIS REGION
ALSO PRODUCED SEVERAL C-CLASS SUBFLARES. LIMB PROXIMITY HAS MADE
ACCURATE WHITE LIGHT AND MAGNETIC ANALYSIS DIFFICULT. IT'S
IMPOSSIBLE TO DEFINE A DELTA CONFIGURATION AT THIS TIME, BUT MIXED
POLARITIES APPEAR MORE OBVIOUS IN THIS C-CLASS 14 SPOT GROUP. REGION
8293 (S23W18) REMAINS MODERATELY COMPLEX AND PRODUCED A C3/SF AT
08/1626Z. SOME GROWTH WAS EVIDENT IN WHITE LIGHT AS THIS SPOT GROUP,
NUMBERING AS HIGH AS 77 SPOTS, NOW COVERS AN AREA OF 580 MILLIONTHS.
REMAINING REGIONS HAVE BEEN MOSTLY QUIET. TWO NEW REGIONS WERE
NUMBERED TODAY, 8300 (S29W01) AND 8301 (S20E71).
IB. Päikese aktiivsuse ennustus
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
MODERATE. BOTH REGIONS 8293 AND 8299 HAVE GOOD POTENTIAL FOR
CONTINUED M-CLASS ACTIVITY.
IIA. Summaarne geofüüsikaline aktiivsus 08-2100Z kuni 09-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB. Geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse ennustus
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH ACTIVE CONDITIONS DEVELOPING
ON 12 AUG IN RESPONSE TO THE LARGE DSF/CME OBSERVED ON 8 AUG.
III. Sündmuste tõenäosus 10 AUGkuni 12 AUG
| Klass M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Klass X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Prooton | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Pikklaine 10.7 cm kiirgus
Vaadeldud 09 AUG 154 Prognoositud 10 AUG-12 AUG 155/155/150 90 päeva keskmine 09 AUG 111
V. Geomagneetiline A-indeks
OBSERVED AFR/AP 08 AUG 007/012 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 09 AUG 005/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 10 AUG-12 AUG 010/010-012/015-025/025
VI. Geomagnetilised aktiivsuse tõenäosused 10 AUG kuni 12 AUG
| A. Keskmistel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 10% | 20% | 40% |
| Väike torm | 05% | 10% | 25% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 01% | 05% | 10% |
| B. Kõrgetel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 15% | 25% | 50% |
| Väike torm | 05% | 15% | 35% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 01% | 05% | 10% |
<< Mine igapäevase ülevaate lehele
Viimane uudis
laupäev, 4 mai 2024
Sunspot region 3663, X1 solar flare
esmaspäev, 22 aprill 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
laupäev, 23 märts 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
Viimane foorumi postitus
AR3663 129CME 2024-MAY-01 south of AR3654 C5.8 6Weakening of Earths magnetic field due to geomagnetic excursion 7Unproven theories 382Latest SC25 Predictions 111
Veel teemasidToeta SpaceWeatherLive.com-i!
Paljud inimesed külastavad SpaceWeatherLive lehte selleks, et jälgida, mis toimub Päikesel või, kas on oodata virmalisi. Suurema liiklusega on serveri koormus ning maksumus kõrgem. Kui sulle meeldib see, mida me sinu heaks teeme, siis saad sa sellele ka ise natukene kaasa aidata, annetades selle lehe käigus hoidmise ja arendamise heaks. Ette tänades SpeaceWeatherLive meeskond!
Fakte kosmose ilmast
| Viimane X-loide | 03/05/2024 | X1.6 |
| Viimane M-loide | 05/05/2024 | M8.3 |
| Viimane geomagnetiline torm | 02/05/2024 | Kp7- (G3) |
| Plekivabasid päevi | |
|---|---|
| Viimane päikese plekivaba päev | 08/06/2022 |
| Kuu keskmine päikeseplekkide arv | |
|---|---|
| aprill 2024 | 136.5 +31.6 |
| Viimased 30 päeva | 153.8 +59.7 |