Vaata pühapäev, 1 juuni 1997 arhiivi
Päikese aktiivsuse aruanne
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Päikese ja geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse aruanne 1997 Jun 01 2200 UTCValminud NOAA © SWPC ja töödeldud SpaceWeatherLive.com-iga
Ühine USAF / NOAA päikese- ja geofüüsikaalase aktiivsuse aruanne
SDF number 152 Välja antud 2200Z kuni 01 JUN 1997IA. Päikese aktiivsete piirkondade ja päikeseaktiivsuse analüüs alates 31-2100Z kuni 01-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8048 (S29E28)
PRODUCED TWO B1 X-RAY EVENTS, AS WELL AS TWO UNRELATED SUBFLARES,
AND CONTINUES TO SHOW MARKED GROWTH AND STRONG AFS ACTIVITY. THE
REGION IS CURRENTLY A 'CRO' BETA GROUP WITH 10-15 SPOTS. REGION 8047
(N26E08), A 3 SPOT 'CRO' GROUP, REMAINS STABLE.
IB. Päikese aktiivsuse ennustus
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW, WITH A GOOD CHANCE FOR ISOLATED C-CLASS EVENTS FROM
REGION 8048.
IIA. Summaarne geofüüsikaline aktiivsus 31-2100Z kuni 01-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN MOSTLY QUIET WITH ISOLATED PERIODS OF
UNSETTLED CONDITIONS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse ennustus
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH THE
CONTINUED CHANCE FOR ISOLATED PERIODS OF UNSETTLED CONDITIONS.
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH THE
CHANCE FOR ISOLATED PERIODS OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS ON DAY TWO, AND
ACTIVE WITH THE CHANCE FOR ISOLATED PERIODS OF MINOR STORMING ON DAY
THREE, IN RESPONSE TO THE LARGE (61 DEGREE) DSF OBSERVED IN THE
NORTHWEST QUADRANT ON 31 MAY.
III. Sündmuste tõenäosus 02 JUNkuni 04 JUN
| Klass M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Klass X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Prooton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Pikklaine 10.7 cm kiirgus
Vaadeldud 01 JUN 077 Prognoositud 02 JUN-04 JUN 077/077/077 90 päeva keskmine 01 JUN 074
V. Geomagneetiline A-indeks
OBSERVED AFR/AP 31 MAY 009/009 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 01 JUN 007/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 02 JUN-04 JUN 005/005-010/010-020/020
VI. Geomagnetilised aktiivsuse tõenäosused 02 JUN kuni 04 JUN
| A. Keskmistel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 10% | 20% | 60% |
| Väike torm | 05% | 10% | 15% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Kõrgetel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 15% | 30% | 60% |
| Väike torm | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 01% | 05% | 10% |
Kõik ajad UTC-s
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