Vaata kolmapäev, 19 juuni 1996 arhiivi
Päikese aktiivsuse aruanne
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Päikese ja geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse aruanne 1996 Jun 19 2200 UTCValminud NOAA © SWPC ja töödeldud SpaceWeatherLive.com-iga
Ühine USAF / NOAA päikese- ja geofüüsikaalase aktiivsuse aruanne
SDF number 171 Välja antud 2200Z kuni 19 JUN 1996IA. Päikese aktiivsete piirkondade ja päikeseaktiivsuse analüüs alates 18-2100Z kuni 19-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. NEW REGION 7973
(N09E71) ROTATED INTO VIEW AS A SMALL H CLASS SUNSPOT GROUP.
THIS REGION PRODUCED A LONG DURATION A9 EVENT FROM 19/1104-
1414Z. YOHKOH OBSERVED THE EVENT. ANOTHER SMALLER LONG DURATION
EVENT BEGAN NEAR 19/1700Z AND WAS ENDING NEAR 19/2100Z.
THE LOCATION FOR THIS EVENT IS UNKNOWN, BUT REGION 7973 IS THE
LIKELY SOURCE.
IB. Päikese aktiivsuse ennustus
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE
AT A VERY LOW LEVEL FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. THERE IS A SLIGHT
POSSIBILITY OF A C-CLASS FLARE FROM REGION 7973.
IIA. Summaarne geofüüsikaline aktiivsus 18-2100Z kuni 19-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS UNSETTLED AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
PERIOD. ACTIVE TO MINOR STORM CONDITIONS WERE OBSERVED
BETWEEN 19/0000-0600Z. THE SOURCE OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS
UNKNOWN. QUIET CONDITIONS WERE OBSERVED FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE PERIOD. REAL-TIME SOLAR WIND DATA WERE RECEIVED
DURING THE QUIET PERIODS. STREAM PARAMETERS WERE
UNREMARKABLE.
IIB. Geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse ennustus
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD
IS FORECAST TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE
DAYS. ISOLATED SUBSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EARLY ON 20 JUN.
III. Sündmuste tõenäosus 20 JUNkuni 22 JUN
| Klass M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Klass X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Prooton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Pikklaine 10.7 cm kiirgus
Vaadeldud 19 JUN 068 Prognoositud 20 JUN-22 JUN 069/069/069 90 päeva keskmine 19 JUN 070
V. Geomagneetiline A-indeks
OBSERVED AFR/AP 18 JUN 006/005 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 19 JUN 015/012 PREDICTED AFR/AP 20 JUN-22 JUN 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetilised aktiivsuse tõenäosused 20 JUN kuni 22 JUN
| A. Keskmistel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Väike torm | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Kõrgetel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Väike torm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 05% | 01% | 01% |
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