Viendo archivo del martes, 30 septiembre 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Sep 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 273 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Sep 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 10 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(01 Oct, 02 Oct, 03 Oct).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at unsettled to severe storm levels for the past 24
hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 744 km/s at 30/1921Z. Total
IMF reached 20 nT at 30/1139Z. The maximum southward component of Bz
reached -17 nT at 30/0453Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 413 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on day one (01 Oct), unsettled
to active levels on day two (02 Oct) and quiet to active levels on day
three (03 Oct).
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Oct a 03 Oct
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Sep 187 Previsto 01 Oct-03 Oct 185/180/180 Media de 90 Días 30 Sep 151
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Sep 013/027 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Sep 040/064 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Oct-03 Oct 021/027-014/018-013/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Oct a 03 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 65% | 55% | 45% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 30/03/2026 | X1.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 09/04/2026 | M1.0 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 03/04/2026 | Kp7- (G3) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (3%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| marzo 2026 | 85.9 +7.7 |
| abril 2026 | 97.2 +11.3 |
| Last 30 days | 95.6 +37.2 |
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