Viendo archivo del martes, 29 marzo 2022
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Mar 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 88 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Mar 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M2 event observed at
29/0111Z from Region 2975 (N13W25). There are currently 7 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on
day one (30 Mar) and expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares
on days two and three (31 Mar, 01 Apr).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 445 km/s at 28/2201Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
29/0815Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
29/1550Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 10 pfu at 28/2100Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 570 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (30 Mar), active to
severe storm levels on day two (31 Mar) and unsettled to major storm
levels on day three (01 Apr). Protons have a slight chance of crossing
threshold on day one (30 Mar), have a slight chance of crossing
threshold on day two (31 Mar) and have a slight chance of crossing
threshold on day three (01 Apr).
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Mar a 01 Apr
| Clase M | 50% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 Mar 149 Previsto 30 Mar-01 Apr 150/150/150 Media de 90 Días 29 Mar 109
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Mar 010/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 Mar 007/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 Mar-01 Apr 011/014-032/056-025/032
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Mar a 01 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 35% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 45% | 25% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 70% | 80% | 70% |
All times in UTC
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