Viendo archivo del martes, 7 mayo 2019
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2019 May 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 127 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 May 2019IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
07/1156Z from Region 2740 (N08E28). There are currently 2 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low on day
one (08 May) and expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class
flares on days two and three (09 May, 10 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 389 km/s at 07/0147Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
06/2234Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
07/0252Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 1047 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (08 May) and quiet levels
on days two and three (09 May, 10 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 May a 10 May
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 May 079 Previsto 08 May-10 May 079/079/079 Media de 90 Días 07 May 072
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 May 005/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 May 006/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 May-10 May 008/008-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 May a 10 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 10% | 15% |
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