Viendo archivo del sábado, 6 agosto 2016
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2016 Aug 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 219 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Aug 2016IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (07
Aug, 08 Aug, 09 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 732 km/s at 05/2150Z. Total IMF reached 6
nT at 06/0251Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
06/0804Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 16205 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (07 Aug, 09
Aug) and quiet to minor storm levels on day two (08 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Aug a 09 Aug
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Aug 083 Previsto 07 Aug-09 Aug 090/090/090 Media de 90 Días 06 Aug 086
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Aug 016/016 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Aug 010/013 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Aug-09 Aug 007/010-015/020-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Aug a 09 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 35% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 25% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 55% | 25% |
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