Viendo archivo del lunes, 26 octubre 2015
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2015 Oct 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 299 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Oct 2015IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C2 event observed at
26/1029Z from Region 2437 (S21W33). There are currently 5 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a
slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (27 Oct,
28 Oct, 29 Oct).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed,
as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 562 km/s at
25/2248Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at 25/2102Z. The maximum southward
component of Bz reached -4 nT at 26/0152Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (27 Oct) and quiet to unsettled levels
on days two and three (28 Oct, 29 Oct).
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Oct a 29 Oct
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Oct 106 Previsto 27 Oct-29 Oct 105/105/100 Media de 90 Días 26 Oct 104
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Oct 007/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Oct 004/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Oct-29 Oct 006/005-007/008-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Oct a 29 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 25% | 30% |
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