Viendo archivo del miércoles, 1 julio 2015
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2015 Jul 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 182 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Jul 2015IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
30/2211Z from Region 2376 (N13E57). There are currently 3 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (02
Jul, 03 Jul, 04 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of
446 km/s at 01/1318Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 01/0624Z. The maximum
southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at 01/1336Z. Protons greater
than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 3 pfu at
01/1920Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 5953 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (02 Jul, 03 Jul, 04
Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Jul a 04 Jul
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Jul 109 Previsto 02 Jul-04 Jul 110/115/120 Media de 90 Días 01 Jul 124
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 30 Jun 008/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Jul 006/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Jul-04 Jul 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Jul a 04 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
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