Viendo archivo del viernes, 3 abril 2015
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2015 Apr 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 93 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Apr 2015IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
03/0726Z. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a
slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (04 Apr,
05 Apr, 06 Apr).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of
605 km/s at 03/1650Z. Total IMF reached 13 nT at 03/0509Z. The maximum
southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at 03/0735Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (04 Apr) and quiet to
unsettled levels on days two and three (05 Apr, 06 Apr).
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Apr a 06 Apr
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Apr 120 Previsto 04 Apr-06 Apr 120/125/125 Media de 90 Días 03 Apr 132
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Apr 022/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Apr 012/016 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Apr-06 Apr 012/015-007/010-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Apr a 06 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 30% | 25% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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