Viendo archivo del domingo, 8 junio 2014
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2014 Jun 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 159 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Jun 2014IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
08/1002Z. There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on
days one, two, and three (09 Jun, 10 Jun, 11 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at unsettled to major storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak
speed of 641 km/s at 08/1753Z. Total IMF reached 29 nT at 08/0654Z. The
maximum southward component of Bz reached -16 nT at 08/0426Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (09 Jun) and quiet levels on
days two and three (10 Jun, 11 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Jun a 11 Jun
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Jun 149 Previsto 09 Jun-11 Jun 155/160/165 Media de 90 Días 08 Jun 138
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Jun 014/013 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Jun 026/040 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Jun-11 Jun 012/015-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Jun a 11 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 50% | 05% | 05% |
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