Viendo archivo del lunes, 29 octubre 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Oct 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 303 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Oct 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity was very low. The largest and only
event of the period was a B6 flare at 29/0302Z from Region 1596
(N05W79). Regions 1601 (S10E11) and 1602 (S17E65) were numbered
today. No Earth-directed CMEs were detected during the reporting
period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a slight chance for M-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on day 1 (30 October). Quiet conditions are
expected again on day 2 (31 October) until the arrival of the CMEs
from 27/28 October, when there is a chance for active conditions
late in the period. Active conditions are again likely with a
chance for minor storm conditions on day 3 (01 November).
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Oct a 01 Nov
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 Oct 108 Previsto 30 Oct-01 Nov 110/110/110 Media de 90 Días 29 Oct 121
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Oct 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 Oct 003/003 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 Oct-01 Nov 006/005-010/012-016/022
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Oct a 01 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 25% | 45% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 35% | 60% |
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