Viendo archivo del lunes, 24 septiembre 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Sep 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 268 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Sep 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity was low. A C1 flare occurred at
24/1542Z from new Region 1578 (N21E10). Another C1 flare occurred
at 24/1931Z from an unnumbered region currently rotating onto the
northeast limb. Another new region rotated onto the southeast limb
and was numbered Region 1579 (S09E70). No Earth-directed CMEs were
observed during the reporting period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a slight chance for M-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet on days 1-3 (25-27 September). On days
2-3 (26-27 September), the greater than 10 MeV proton probability
increases to a slight chance due to potential activity from active
regions rotating around the southeast limb.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Sep a 27 Sep
| Clase M | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Sep 137 Previsto 25 Sep-27 Sep 140/145/145 Media de 90 Días 24 Sep 124
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Sep 001/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Sep 002/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Sep-27 Sep 005/005-004/005-004/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Sep a 27 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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