Viendo archivo del martes, 7 agosto 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Aug 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 220 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Aug 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 1542 (S14E62) was the
most active region on the solar disk. This region produced seven
C-class x-ray flares, the largest of which was a C4/Sf flare that
occurred at 07/1330Z. A partial filament eruption occurred at
approximately 06/1830Z. An associated CME was visible on LASCO C2
imagery at 06/1900Z off the west limb, however no significant
impacts are expected.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a slight chance of an isolated M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
Geomagnetic activity was at quiet to unsettled levels with an
isolated active period at high latitudes from 07/0900-1200Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with a slight chance of isolated
active to minor storm intervals on days one and two (08 and 09 Aug).
This increase in activity is expected sometime between mid-day on
08 Aug to early on 09 Aug due to the arrival of the 04 Aug CME. Day
three (10 Aug) is expected to return to quiet levels as the effects
of the CME subside.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Aug a 10 Aug
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Aug 129 Previsto 08 Aug-10 Aug 130/130/130 Media de 90 Días 07 Aug 128
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Aug 010/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Aug 006/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Aug-10 Aug 007/010-011/010-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Aug a 10 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 30% | 25% | 05% |
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