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Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 May 03 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 124 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 May 2012

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. Multiple C-class events were observed during the period with the largest event being a C2/Sf x-ray flare from new Region 1475 (N05E61). Even though Region 1475 is magnetically classified as an alpha group, it remains responsible for a majority of todays activity. There are currently seven sunspot regions on the disk, with many regions stable or in a waning phase. No Earth directed CMEs were observed in the past 24 hours.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels with a slight chance for M-class events for the next three days (04 - 06 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at mostly quiet levels for the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at mostly quiet levels for the next three days (04 - 06 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 May a 06 May
Clase M15%15%15%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       03 May 114
  Previsto   04 May-06 May  115/115/115
  Media de 90 Días        03 May 112
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 02 May  004/004
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 03 May  006/006
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 04 May-06 May  006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 May a 06 May
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

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