Viendo archivo del miércoles, 21 marzo 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Mar 21 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 081 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Mar 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity was low. There were four C-class flares
with three of these originating from the newly emerging Region 1440
(S26W24). The largest was a C2 flare that occurred at 1252Z.
Region 1440 showed development throughout the day and appears to
have a small magnetic delta configuration in the trailing portion of
the group. There was a back-sided full halo CME from old Region
1429 that was observed in LASCO C2 imagery beginning at 21/0736Z.
This CME is not expected to be geoeffective.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
with an slight chance for an isolated M-flare from Region 1440.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels throughout the
period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (22-24 March).
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Mar a 24 Mar
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Mar 100 Previsto 22 Mar-24 Mar 095/090/090 Media de 90 Días 21 Mar 122
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Mar 004/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Mar 003/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Mar-24 Mar 007/007-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Mar a 24 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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