Viendo archivo del martes, 20 marzo 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Mar 20 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 080 Publicado el 2200Z a las 20 Mar 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 19-2100Z hasta 20-2100Z Solar activity was low. There was just one C-class
x-ray event during the period, a C3 from Region 1434 (S20W66) at
19/2204Z. The solar disk consists of six spotted regions, all of
which were relatively quiet and stable. Two new regions were
assigned today: Region 1438 (S15E69) and Region 1439 (N25W79).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low. There is, however, a chance for an isolated C-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 19-2100Z a 20-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels throughout the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet with a chance for some isolated
unsettled periods for the next three days (20-22 March).
III. Probabilidades del evento 21 Mar a 23 Mar
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 20 Mar 100 Previsto 21 Mar-23 Mar 095/090/085 Media de 90 Días 20 Mar 123
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 19 Mar 008/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 20 Mar 004/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 21 Mar-23 Mar 006/007-007/007-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 21 Mar a 23 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 05% |
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