Viendo archivo del martes, 20 diciembre 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Dec 20 2240 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
::::::::::CORRECTED COPY:::::::::: SDF Número 354 Publicado el 2200Z a las 20 Dec 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 19-2100Z hasta 20-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24
hours. Region 1376 (N19W46) produced the largest event of the
period, a C2 event at 20/2036Z. Region 1376 also has shown the most
growth in areal coverage and magnetic complexity. A new region was
numbered today, Region 1384 (N12E61), as it rotated onto the east
limb. Several CMEs were observed in LASCO C2 and C3 imagery but
none appear to have any Earth directed components.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels for the next three days (21 - 23 December).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 19-2100Z a 20-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at predominantly quiet levels for the
past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at mostly quiet levels for the next three days
(21 - 23 December).
III. Probabilidades del evento 21 Dec a 23 Dec
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 20 Dec 137 Previsto 21 Dec-23 Dec 140/140/135 Media de 90 Días 20 Dec 145
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 19 Dec 006/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 20 Dec 003/003 Previsto Afr/Ap 21 Dec-23 Dec 004/005-004/005-004/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 21 Dec a 23 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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